IAORION

Informe de investigación PAT_HIKKAKE

Motor 3 · Investigación. No es una cuenta financiada ni una promesa de ganancias.

todo/opp

No supera filtros de desarrollo/selección o estabilidad

{
  "id": "09419aac4951d4daaef3",
  "engine_version": "3.0.0",
  "entrada": "PAT_HIKKAKE",
  "familia": "Velas",
  "regimen": "todo",
  "salida": "opp",
  "activos": [],
  "discovery_assets": [],
  "descubierto": null,
  "first_seen": "2026-10-13T08:39:15.136458+00:00",
  "evaluated_at": "2026-11-06T08:00:01.996908+00:00",
  "categoria": "DESCARTADA",
  "base_passed": false,
  "walk_forward": null,
  "forward": {
    "n": 0,
    "net_R": 0.0,
    "expectancy_R": null,
    "pf": null,
    "max_drawdown_R": 0.0,
    "win_rate": null,
    "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
    "funding_approved": false
  },
  "funding_approved": false,
  "p_revienta": null,
  "risk_probability_status": "not_estimated",
  "razon": "No supera filtros de desarrollo/selección o estabilidad",
  "markets": {
    "BTCUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_HIKKAKE",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BTCUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 8.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "f8d4ef340e3d496a97d5"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 409,
        "net_R": -30.448213094719883,
        "expectancy_R": -0.07444550878904617,
        "pf": 0.8513768567211806,
        "max_drawdown_R": 40.50745702436908,
        "win_rate": 0.41075794621026895,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 122,
        "net_R": -14.724855518686008,
        "expectancy_R": -0.1206955370384099,
        "pf": 0.7791969658088517,
        "max_drawdown_R": 20.11103394506928,
        "win_rate": 0.38524590163934425,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 139,
        "net_R": -9.429413811651571,
        "expectancy_R": -0.06783750943634224,
        "pf": 0.8672668887585223,
        "max_drawdown_R": 27.274049387613207,
        "win_rate": 0.4460431654676259,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": 1,
        "entry": 76088.01,
        "rd": 1664.7404276186112,
        "sl": 74423.26957238138,
        "tp": 79417.49085523722,
        "highest": 76416.24,
        "lowest": 75304.11,
        "bars": 2,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-06 00:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": -0.3202549869967677
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "ETHUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_HIKKAKE",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "ETHUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "ebe41f657a374c822cbf"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 402,
        "net_R": 4.3728098924046215,
        "expectancy_R": 0.010877636548270203,
        "pf": 1.0233618331486292,
        "max_drawdown_R": 23.868583211069115,
        "win_rate": 0.4701492537313433,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 126,
        "net_R": 11.552809747112049,
        "expectancy_R": 0.09168896624692102,
        "pf": 1.2160856335277201,
        "max_drawdown_R": 8.272862784276866,
        "win_rate": 0.5079365079365079,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 145,
        "net_R": 4.723598757131656,
        "expectancy_R": 0.03257654315263211,
        "pf": 1.0654315020722638,
        "max_drawdown_R": 12.872002149023201,
        "win_rate": 0.4482758620689655,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": 1,
        "entry": 2238.01,
        "rd": 65.80967616340885,
        "sl": 2172.2003238365915,
        "tp": 2369.6293523268178,
        "highest": 2250.03,
        "lowest": 2213.47,
        "bars": 2,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-06 00:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": -0.16973320112173781
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "SOLUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_HIKKAKE",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "SOLUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "1be4ced8282aa6f83b4a"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 353,
        "net_R": 22.319490596010898,
        "expectancy_R": 0.06322801868558328,
        "pf": 1.1308338402077538,
        "max_drawdown_R": 19.92361237441454,
        "win_rate": 0.43059490084985835,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 113,
        "net_R": -0.560050565466867,
        "expectancy_R": -0.004956199694397053,
        "pf": 0.9901287239818791,
        "max_drawdown_R": 19.259121360789557,
        "win_rate": 0.4247787610619469,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 131,
        "net_R": -0.10855374274434482,
        "expectancy_R": -0.0008286545247659909,
        "pf": 0.9984212393714125,
        "max_drawdown_R": 19.1023435967362,
        "win_rate": 0.40458015267175573,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 90.21,
        "rd": 3.1127730251066943,
        "sl": 93.32277302510668,
        "tp": 83.9844539497866,
        "highest": 91.59,
        "lowest": 88.3,
        "bars": 4,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-05 16:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 0.14137073164366154
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BNBUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_HIKKAKE",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BNBUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "73e0c4ec3c75c08467cf"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 350,
        "net_R": -32.99785183074629,
        "expectancy_R": -0.09427957665927512,
        "pf": 0.8158457358258406,
        "max_drawdown_R": 51.3343640939562,
        "win_rate": 0.41714285714285715,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 122,
        "net_R": 1.3872105567261928,
        "expectancy_R": 0.011370578333821253,
        "pf": 1.022022259775383,
        "max_drawdown_R": 8.881111200965032,
        "win_rate": 0.4426229508196721,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 122,
        "net_R": -22.331251081287213,
        "expectancy_R": -0.18304304164989518,
        "pf": 0.6735913719940807,
        "max_drawdown_R": 22.331251081287224,
        "win_rate": 0.36885245901639346,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": 1,
        "entry": 689.73,
        "rd": 15.696124972087333,
        "sl": 674.0338750279127,
        "tp": 721.1222499441747,
        "highest": 696.3,
        "lowest": 686.51,
        "bars": 2,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-06 00:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 0.005028502266660767
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "XRPUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_HIKKAKE",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "XRPUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "be24621e27207b6a5eba"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 379,
        "net_R": -15.061788703142925,
        "expectancy_R": -0.03974086729061458,
        "pf": 0.914272064404144,
        "max_drawdown_R": 42.068708663643804,
        "win_rate": 0.47229551451187335,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 122,
        "net_R": -11.504059288012913,
        "expectancy_R": -0.09429556793453207,
        "pf": 0.8246966324629527,
        "max_drawdown_R": 22.88783334678338,
        "win_rate": 0.4344262295081967,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 130,
        "net_R": 1.4156899944220065,
        "expectancy_R": 0.010889923034015434,
        "pf": 1.0228777195602354,
        "max_drawdown_R": 18.135866682166387,
        "win_rate": 0.4461538461538462,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 1.2456,
        "rd": 0.03428612811136167,
        "sl": 1.2798861281113618,
        "tp": 1.1770277437772767,
        "highest": 1.2599,
        "lowest": 1.1776,
        "bars": 4,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-05 16:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": "OPP_NEXT_OPEN",
        "unreal_R": 1.7057700365011381
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BTCUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_HIKKAKE",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BTCUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 8.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "c321535a546cc9e3e61c"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 375,
        "net_R": -8.377633684787156,
        "expectancy_R": -0.02234035649276575,
        "pf": 0.9557768849776324,
        "max_drawdown_R": 23.50913107076005,
        "win_rate": 0.45866666666666667,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 121,
        "net_R": -12.731298477286737,
        "expectancy_R": -0.1052173427874937,
        "pf": 0.8206477212462977,
        "max_drawdown_R": 32.35433023719812,
        "win_rate": 0.35537190082644626,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 116,
        "net_R": -21.869265770578323,
        "expectancy_R": -0.18852815319464072,
        "pf": 0.6445445519211909,
        "max_drawdown_R": 24.00153570239768,
        "win_rate": 0.4051724137931034,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": 1,
        "entry": 76090.01,
        "rd": 970.4695190865341,
        "sl": 75119.54048091346,
        "tp": 78030.94903817306,
        "highest": 76559.8,
        "lowest": 75208.42,
        "bars": 13,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-05 19:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": -0.55142610197969
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "ETHUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_HIKKAKE",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "ETHUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "25308106b63c2f1cfd27"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 387,
        "net_R": -1.8851985549684764,
        "expectancy_R": -0.004871314095525779,
        "pf": 0.9897006999381467,
        "max_drawdown_R": 18.957037835997678,
        "win_rate": 0.45219638242894056,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 133,
        "net_R": -11.30633350823326,
        "expectancy_R": -0.08501002637769368,
        "pf": 0.8431955170807941,
        "max_drawdown_R": 15.370970984819468,
        "win_rate": 0.42105263157894735,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 128,
        "net_R": 2.3501028041552914,
        "expectancy_R": 0.018360178157463214,
        "pf": 1.037679370895116,
        "max_drawdown_R": 10.074824666060955,
        "win_rate": 0.421875,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": 1,
        "entry": 2238.01,
        "rd": 38.981852321156666,
        "sl": 2199.0281476788437,
        "tp": 2315.9737046423134,
        "highest": 2250.03,
        "lowest": 2213.47,
        "bars": 8,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-06 00:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": -0.28654582414335283
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "SOLUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_HIKKAKE",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "SOLUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "546877ea965c86ae06ae"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 334,
        "net_R": -29.305599389416543,
        "expectancy_R": -0.08774131553717528,
        "pf": 0.8412297812323225,
        "max_drawdown_R": 36.89618715099251,
        "win_rate": 0.39820359281437123,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 118,
        "net_R": -10.591010514984644,
        "expectancy_R": -0.08975432639817495,
        "pf": 0.8423673865543492,
        "max_drawdown_R": 19.095910267662934,
        "win_rate": 0.3898305084745763,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 108,
        "net_R": 6.409701566971008,
        "expectancy_R": 0.05934908858306489,
        "pf": 1.121498369855288,
        "max_drawdown_R": 14.573179000245924,
        "win_rate": 0.48148148148148145,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": 1,
        "entry": 89.19,
        "rd": 1.7833607841472419,
        "sl": 87.40663921585275,
        "tp": 92.75672156829448,
        "highest": 90.57,
        "lowest": 88.3,
        "bars": 14,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-05 18:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 0.22461243039587706
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BNBUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_HIKKAKE",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BNBUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "ea6fe5be144bf8187e5c"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 352,
        "net_R": -2.6287856287634455,
        "expectancy_R": -0.007468140990805242,
        "pf": 0.9862138636730895,
        "max_drawdown_R": 28.533137563337707,
        "win_rate": 0.41761363636363635,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 106,
        "net_R": 17.35222876830027,
        "expectancy_R": 0.16370027139905916,
        "pf": 1.3205937648029473,
        "max_drawdown_R": 22.557431510430323,
        "win_rate": 0.44339622641509435,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 115,
        "net_R": 37.684045261114015,
        "expectancy_R": 0.3276873500966436,
        "pf": 1.7245135506631484,
        "max_drawdown_R": 10.93771540096468,
        "win_rate": 0.5565217391304348,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": 1,
        "entry": 690.64,
        "rd": 6.78249740640157,
        "sl": 683.8575025935984,
        "tp": 704.2049948128031,
        "highest": 691.42,
        "lowest": 686.51,
        "bars": 2,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-06 06:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": -0.12259223265094851
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "XRPUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_HIKKAKE",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "XRPUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "126d7ba4551cfcde564e"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 337,
        "net_R": -36.969477163292325,
        "expectancy_R": -0.10970171265071907,
        "pf": 0.7985058814113054,
        "max_drawdown_R": 39.952385394639485,
        "win_rate": 0.39762611275964393,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 106,
        "net_R": 25.13923936965239,
        "expectancy_R": 0.2371626355627584,
        "pf": 1.4215661210895136,
        "max_drawdown_R": 23.86913516429879,
        "win_rate": 0.4056603773584906,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 135,
        "net_R": -12.15442523734812,
        "expectancy_R": -0.090032779535912,
        "pf": 0.8207490410700579,
        "max_drawdown_R": 24.34960464543886,
        "win_rate": 0.45925925925925926,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 1.2165,
        "rd": 0.019894461469975422,
        "sl": 1.2363944614699753,
        "tp": 1.176711077060049,
        "highest": 1.2175,
        "lowest": 1.1776,
        "bars": 5,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-06 03:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 1.4777379143621665
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    }
  },
  "selection_bias": "Repeated rolling search; not independent final validation"
}

Registro completo