IAORION

Informe de investigación PAT_HARAMICROSS

Motor 3 · Investigación. No es una cuenta financiada ni una promesa de ganancias.

todo/rr2

No supera filtros de desarrollo/selección o estabilidad

{
  "id": "5411045d3390e4f3e092",
  "engine_version": "3.0.0",
  "entrada": "PAT_HARAMICROSS",
  "familia": "Velas",
  "regimen": "todo",
  "salida": "rr2",
  "activos": [],
  "discovery_assets": [],
  "descubierto": null,
  "first_seen": "2026-10-13T08:39:15.136458+00:00",
  "evaluated_at": "2026-11-06T08:00:01.996908+00:00",
  "categoria": "DESCARTADA",
  "base_passed": false,
  "walk_forward": null,
  "forward": {
    "n": 0,
    "net_R": 0.0,
    "expectancy_R": null,
    "pf": null,
    "max_drawdown_R": 0.0,
    "win_rate": null,
    "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
    "funding_approved": false
  },
  "funding_approved": false,
  "p_revienta": null,
  "risk_probability_status": "not_estimated",
  "razon": "No supera filtros de desarrollo/selección o estabilidad",
  "markets": {
    "BTCUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_HARAMICROSS",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BTCUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 8.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "3e6636d1dea580b1ab0d"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 77,
        "net_R": -23.302300508963885,
        "expectancy_R": -0.3026272793371933,
        "pf": 0.6148346929762138,
        "max_drawdown_R": 26.18224017851413,
        "win_rate": 0.24675324675324675,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 21,
        "net_R": -3.9392177289685146,
        "expectancy_R": -0.1875817966175483,
        "pf": 0.7485030100712431,
        "max_drawdown_R": 4.718772619762305,
        "win_rate": 0.2857142857142857,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 32,
        "net_R": -3.4545809551116835,
        "expectancy_R": -0.10795565484724011,
        "pf": 0.8499196863395165,
        "max_drawdown_R": 7.504610138800198,
        "win_rate": 0.3125,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "ETHUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_HARAMICROSS",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "ETHUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "cd499c3997264546bc8b"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 102,
        "net_R": -0.9042727083174924,
        "expectancy_R": -0.008865418708995024,
        "pf": 0.9870139135761172,
        "max_drawdown_R": 20.201723247039162,
        "win_rate": 0.3431372549019608,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 34,
        "net_R": 3.9775582572876775,
        "expectancy_R": 0.11698700756728464,
        "pf": 1.1840418735559874,
        "max_drawdown_R": 4.099164341515065,
        "win_rate": 0.38235294117647056,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 28,
        "net_R": -5.042158537291113,
        "expectancy_R": -0.18007709061753974,
        "pf": 0.7568803343082874,
        "max_drawdown_R": 5.8024557425056305,
        "win_rate": 0.2857142857142857,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "SOLUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_HARAMICROSS",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "SOLUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "5007e176d3bf2036648f"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 89,
        "net_R": -4.243149487256657,
        "expectancy_R": -0.047675836935468056,
        "pf": 0.9309604961598338,
        "max_drawdown_R": 12.805193203225565,
        "win_rate": 0.3258426966292135,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 30,
        "net_R": 5.117870456257988,
        "expectancy_R": 0.17059568187526625,
        "pf": 1.2759843396942716,
        "max_drawdown_R": 7.670651256797136,
        "win_rate": 0.4,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 35,
        "net_R": 17.63174452727266,
        "expectancy_R": 0.5037641293506474,
        "pf": 1.9951963766819547,
        "max_drawdown_R": 6.535944882854812,
        "win_rate": 0.5142857142857142,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BNBUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_HARAMICROSS",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BNBUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "97d77c6942f8a80ba4f0"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 88,
        "net_R": -10.771765851840312,
        "expectancy_R": -0.12240643013454901,
        "pf": 0.8303273282724574,
        "max_drawdown_R": 18.892758594343018,
        "win_rate": 0.3068181818181818,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 28,
        "net_R": -14.268859642414983,
        "expectancy_R": -0.5096021300862493,
        "pf": 0.4058793815006998,
        "max_drawdown_R": 17.104474499693694,
        "win_rate": 0.17857142857142858,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 29,
        "net_R": -6.425647596115768,
        "expectancy_R": -0.22157405503847477,
        "pf": 0.7091897815444174,
        "max_drawdown_R": 14.281045875200071,
        "win_rate": 0.27586206896551724,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "XRPUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_HARAMICROSS",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "XRPUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "7488e4daaa7a66b51de4"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 95,
        "net_R": -5.926864817642871,
        "expectancy_R": -0.06238805071203022,
        "pf": 0.9104816168820317,
        "max_drawdown_R": 17.725285231303694,
        "win_rate": 0.3263157894736842,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 32,
        "net_R": -9.056685853856653,
        "expectancy_R": -0.2830214329330204,
        "pf": 0.6347001489105354,
        "max_drawdown_R": 16.50665031574268,
        "win_rate": 0.25,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 34,
        "net_R": 6.556002243175604,
        "expectancy_R": 0.19282359538751778,
        "pf": 1.3141098149909196,
        "max_drawdown_R": 8.02860819223505,
        "win_rate": 0.4117647058823529,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BTCUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_HARAMICROSS",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BTCUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 8.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "c86f3b4495686c2d15cb"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 80,
        "net_R": -18.236011634680874,
        "expectancy_R": -0.22795014543351094,
        "pf": 0.7068747802879811,
        "max_drawdown_R": 25.798891584338893,
        "win_rate": 0.2875,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 33,
        "net_R": -6.837187283964362,
        "expectancy_R": -0.20718749345346552,
        "pf": 0.7371209844198954,
        "max_drawdown_R": 14.595717388081226,
        "win_rate": 0.30303030303030304,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 35,
        "net_R": -2.839512937768918,
        "expectancy_R": -0.08112894107911195,
        "pf": 0.8887426779429052,
        "max_drawdown_R": 9.278664132374153,
        "win_rate": 0.34285714285714286,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "ETHUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_HARAMICROSS",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "ETHUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "7d61f6d4cb39ad4c9553"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 75,
        "net_R": 6.618456541218456,
        "expectancy_R": 0.08824608721624608,
        "pf": 1.1340197267885253,
        "max_drawdown_R": 16.65623775886255,
        "win_rate": 0.38666666666666666,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 21,
        "net_R": -1.9614690725026898,
        "expectancy_R": -0.09340328916679475,
        "pf": 0.8713950525652638,
        "max_drawdown_R": 6.7742480823400095,
        "win_rate": 0.3333333333333333,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 27,
        "net_R": 0.46686096884823547,
        "expectancy_R": 0.01729114699437909,
        "pf": 1.0252799463043427,
        "max_drawdown_R": 7.640128795606864,
        "win_rate": 0.37037037037037035,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "SOLUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_HARAMICROSS",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "SOLUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "48ccf70bba378fe74795"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 93,
        "net_R": 20.500184405549884,
        "expectancy_R": 0.2204320903822568,
        "pf": 1.3620189636900906,
        "max_drawdown_R": 10.761154950782474,
        "win_rate": 0.43010752688172044,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 32,
        "net_R": -2.2865466424615377,
        "expectancy_R": -0.07145458257692305,
        "pf": 0.9011380284925664,
        "max_drawdown_R": 8.71283342438744,
        "win_rate": 0.34375,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 34,
        "net_R": -0.8436048371687941,
        "expectancy_R": -0.02481190697555277,
        "pf": 0.9645424170401237,
        "max_drawdown_R": 6.789665159290228,
        "win_rate": 0.35294117647058826,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 90.24,
        "rd": 1.711365008604371,
        "sl": 91.95136500860437,
        "tp": 86.81726998279126,
        "highest": 90.57,
        "lowest": 88.94,
        "bars": 6,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-06 02:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 0.27465794709879493
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BNBUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_HARAMICROSS",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BNBUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "695f0840c3371a36b06b"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 81,
        "net_R": -1.8460632132411705,
        "expectancy_R": -0.022790903867174944,
        "pf": 0.9676697700303796,
        "max_drawdown_R": 11.606393637936703,
        "win_rate": 0.35802469135802467,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 27,
        "net_R": 8.247323434963107,
        "expectancy_R": 0.30545642351715213,
        "pf": 1.5180211843300178,
        "max_drawdown_R": 5.119469994863304,
        "win_rate": 0.48148148148148145,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 25,
        "net_R": -9.928977108503414,
        "expectancy_R": -0.3971590843401366,
        "pf": 0.5330231462325052,
        "max_drawdown_R": 16.447450631118947,
        "win_rate": 0.24,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 694.2,
        "rd": 7.299027440122849,
        "sl": 701.4990274401229,
        "tp": 679.6019451197543,
        "highest": 696.3,
        "lowest": 686.51,
        "bars": 6,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-06 02:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 0.4311418919596677
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "XRPUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_HARAMICROSS",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "XRPUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "6b40adb98ab6815ab614"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 93,
        "net_R": -22.84304408799959,
        "expectancy_R": -0.24562412997849023,
        "pf": 0.685379473069365,
        "max_drawdown_R": 25.363095342343325,
        "win_rate": 0.27956989247311825,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 21,
        "net_R": -2.137541598629647,
        "expectancy_R": -0.10178769517284032,
        "pf": 0.861570961526942,
        "max_drawdown_R": 9.728879693502172,
        "win_rate": 0.3333333333333333,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 18,
        "net_R": -7.401807803101938,
        "expectancy_R": -0.41121154461677434,
        "pf": 0.510001164734621,
        "max_drawdown_R": 9.331763713806199,
        "win_rate": 0.2222222222222222,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    }
  },
  "selection_bias": "Repeated rolling search; not independent final validation"
}

Registro completo