Motor 3 · Investigación. No es una cuenta financiada ni una promesa de ganancias.
todo/opp
Forward no positivo
{
"id": "563d94644ad18917b5b6",
"engine_version": "3.0.0",
"entrada": "IND_HT_TRENDLINE",
"familia": "Overlap Studies",
"regimen": "todo",
"salida": "opp",
"activos": [
"BTCUSDT-4h",
"SOLUSDT-4h",
"BNBUSDT-4h",
"XRPUSDT-4h"
],
"discovery_assets": [
"BTCUSDT-4h",
"SOLUSDT-4h",
"XRPUSDT-4h"
],
"descubierto": "2026-10-13T08:39:15.136458+00:00",
"first_seen": "2026-10-13T08:39:15.136458+00:00",
"evaluated_at": "2026-11-06T08:00:01.996908+00:00",
"categoria": "DEGRADADA",
"base_passed": true,
"walk_forward": 0.625,
"forward": {
"n": 11,
"net_R": -8.173385219073285,
"expectancy_R": -0.7430350199157533,
"pf": 0.13031605020149029,
"max_drawdown_R": 8.173385219073285,
"win_rate": 0.18181818181818182,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"funding_approved": false,
"p_revienta": null,
"risk_probability_status": "not_estimated",
"razon": "Forward no positivo",
"markets": {
"BTCUSDT-4h": {
"spec": {
"version": "3.0.0",
"signal": "IND_HT_TRENDLINE",
"exit": "opp",
"regime": "todo",
"market": "BTCUSDT-4h",
"cost_bps": 8.0,
"atr_period": 20,
"sl_atr": 1.5,
"trail_atr": 2.5,
"rr": 2.0,
"max_hold": 300,
"risk_pct": 0.1,
"funding_approved": false,
"cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
"id": "0d3bee8bba2f9f252acb"
},
"train": {
"n": 138,
"net_R": 23.008427391513358,
"expectancy_R": 0.1667277347211113,
"pf": 1.2643562140973232,
"max_drawdown_R": 24.61191393994245,
"win_rate": 0.3115942028985507,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"selection": {
"n": 42,
"net_R": 10.720172974943447,
"expectancy_R": 0.2552422136891297,
"pf": 1.4245345992251166,
"max_drawdown_R": 8.069280553009902,
"win_rate": 0.38095238095238093,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"last_20_percent": {
"n": 51,
"net_R": 19.78533308871438,
"expectancy_R": 0.3879477076218506,
"pf": 1.5728891411405495,
"max_drawdown_R": 8.572398292426417,
"win_rate": 0.27450980392156865,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"base_passed": true,
"open_position": null,
"bars": 8999,
"start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
"end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
},
"ETHUSDT-4h": {
"spec": {
"version": "3.0.0",
"signal": "IND_HT_TRENDLINE",
"exit": "opp",
"regime": "todo",
"market": "ETHUSDT-4h",
"cost_bps": 9.0,
"atr_period": 20,
"sl_atr": 1.5,
"trail_atr": 2.5,
"rr": 2.0,
"max_hold": 300,
"risk_pct": 0.1,
"funding_approved": false,
"cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
"id": "ce642b8ed13763ac7ec7"
},
"train": {
"n": 147,
"net_R": -22.661065358761068,
"expectancy_R": -0.15415690720245626,
"pf": 0.7736053904827097,
"max_drawdown_R": 22.70309605113307,
"win_rate": 0.2653061224489796,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"selection": {
"n": 39,
"net_R": 30.298535068049226,
"expectancy_R": 0.7768855145653648,
"pf": 2.2271064779393193,
"max_drawdown_R": 9.179493411631825,
"win_rate": 0.3076923076923077,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"last_20_percent": {
"n": 62,
"net_R": 8.01900975859377,
"expectancy_R": 0.12933886707409306,
"pf": 1.180903317794784,
"max_drawdown_R": 21.096452510361964,
"win_rate": 0.25806451612903225,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"base_passed": false,
"open_position": null,
"bars": 8999,
"start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
"end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
},
"SOLUSDT-4h": {
"spec": {
"version": "3.0.0",
"signal": "IND_HT_TRENDLINE",
"exit": "opp",
"regime": "todo",
"market": "SOLUSDT-4h",
"cost_bps": 10.0,
"atr_period": 20,
"sl_atr": 1.5,
"trail_atr": 2.5,
"rr": 2.0,
"max_hold": 300,
"risk_pct": 0.1,
"funding_approved": false,
"cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
"id": "ce253c2e338c6a38eecd"
},
"train": {
"n": 126,
"net_R": 25.112267714713504,
"expectancy_R": 0.19930371202153574,
"pf": 1.3317476611719914,
"max_drawdown_R": 17.03283163436617,
"win_rate": 0.3333333333333333,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"selection": {
"n": 45,
"net_R": 9.348378090209819,
"expectancy_R": 0.20774173533799598,
"pf": 1.3608431148459557,
"max_drawdown_R": 5.687123291673446,
"win_rate": 0.3333333333333333,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"last_20_percent": {
"n": 50,
"net_R": 27.059891948883035,
"expectancy_R": 0.5411978389776607,
"pf": 1.8400940811945539,
"max_drawdown_R": 18.36334520557634,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"base_passed": true,
"open_position": null,
"bars": 8999,
"start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
"end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
},
"BNBUSDT-4h": {
"spec": {
"version": "3.0.0",
"signal": "IND_HT_TRENDLINE",
"exit": "opp",
"regime": "todo",
"market": "BNBUSDT-4h",
"cost_bps": 9.0,
"atr_period": 20,
"sl_atr": 1.5,
"trail_atr": 2.5,
"rr": 2.0,
"max_hold": 300,
"risk_pct": 0.1,
"funding_approved": false,
"cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
"id": "a74a74f584ec58b5bdec"
},
"train": {
"n": 145,
"net_R": 25.82452376380008,
"expectancy_R": 0.1781001638882764,
"pf": 1.2991859339111889,
"max_drawdown_R": 14.026125019303556,
"win_rate": 0.2689655172413793,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"selection": {
"n": 42,
"net_R": 8.123337885913077,
"expectancy_R": 0.19341280680745424,
"pf": 1.3240762978928275,
"max_drawdown_R": 7.901412768301013,
"win_rate": 0.30952380952380953,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"last_20_percent": {
"n": 46,
"net_R": 15.0631769356134,
"expectancy_R": 0.3274603681655087,
"pf": 1.550098413554194,
"max_drawdown_R": 8.099661544676477,
"win_rate": 0.34782608695652173,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"base_passed": true,
"open_position": {
"side": -1,
"entry": 689.73,
"rd": 15.696124972087333,
"sl": 705.4261249720873,
"tp": 658.3377500558254,
"highest": 696.3,
"lowest": 686.51,
"bars": 2,
"open_ts": "2026-11-06 00:00:00+00:00",
"pending_exit": null,
"unreal_R": -0.0841654868541895
},
"bars": 8999,
"start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
"end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
},
"XRPUSDT-4h": {
"spec": {
"version": "3.0.0",
"signal": "IND_HT_TRENDLINE",
"exit": "opp",
"regime": "todo",
"market": "XRPUSDT-4h",
"cost_bps": 10.0,
"atr_period": 20,
"sl_atr": 1.5,
"trail_atr": 2.5,
"rr": 2.0,
"max_hold": 300,
"risk_pct": 0.1,
"funding_approved": false,
"cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
"id": "d3582635936de9f373de"
},
"train": {
"n": 146,
"net_R": 72.23249867546245,
"expectancy_R": 0.4947431416127565,
"pf": 1.923008843746147,
"max_drawdown_R": 18.457626822851218,
"win_rate": 0.3150684931506849,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"selection": {
"n": 50,
"net_R": 13.692718645153981,
"expectancy_R": 0.2738543729030796,
"pf": 1.389128549788159,
"max_drawdown_R": 10.005950105076314,
"win_rate": 0.28,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"last_20_percent": {
"n": 58,
"net_R": -3.884662994769151,
"expectancy_R": -0.06697694818567503,
"pf": 0.898301121570006,
"max_drawdown_R": 14.177506429904984,
"win_rate": 0.25862068965517243,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"base_passed": true,
"open_position": null,
"bars": 8999,
"start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
"end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
},
"BTCUSDT-1h": {
"spec": {
"version": "3.0.0",
"signal": "IND_HT_TRENDLINE",
"exit": "opp",
"regime": "todo",
"market": "BTCUSDT-1h",
"cost_bps": 8.0,
"atr_period": 20,
"sl_atr": 1.5,
"trail_atr": 2.5,
"rr": 2.0,
"max_hold": 300,
"risk_pct": 0.1,
"funding_approved": false,
"cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
"id": "1c1de3e677ce0277c5a7"
},
"train": {
"n": 153,
"net_R": -34.80140925274313,
"expectancy_R": -0.22746019119439953,
"pf": 0.6857576517645085,
"max_drawdown_R": 36.633230644416,
"win_rate": 0.24183006535947713,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"selection": {
"n": 43,
"net_R": 55.40111426781185,
"expectancy_R": 1.2883980062281826,
"pf": 2.9267427177404115,
"max_drawdown_R": 18.238020092641026,
"win_rate": 0.37209302325581395,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"last_20_percent": {
"n": 50,
"net_R": -20.484909996872087,
"expectancy_R": -0.4096981999374417,
"pf": 0.4170622821178285,
"max_drawdown_R": 21.739107188311312,
"win_rate": 0.14,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"base_passed": false,
"open_position": {
"side": -1,
"entry": 76388.0,
"rd": 980.7785391540544,
"sl": 77368.77853915405,
"tp": 74426.4429216919,
"highest": 76559.8,
"lowest": 75208.42,
"bars": 15,
"open_ts": "2026-11-05 17:00:00+00:00",
"pending_exit": null,
"unreal_R": 0.7255955871687522
},
"bars": 8999,
"start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
"end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
},
"ETHUSDT-1h": {
"spec": {
"version": "3.0.0",
"signal": "IND_HT_TRENDLINE",
"exit": "opp",
"regime": "todo",
"market": "ETHUSDT-1h",
"cost_bps": 9.0,
"atr_period": 20,
"sl_atr": 1.5,
"trail_atr": 2.5,
"rr": 2.0,
"max_hold": 300,
"risk_pct": 0.1,
"funding_approved": false,
"cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
"id": "82eb2550a438efc03d8e"
},
"train": {
"n": 142,
"net_R": -20.79027583897261,
"expectancy_R": -0.14641039323220148,
"pf": 0.7755510566124219,
"max_drawdown_R": 40.4280674037329,
"win_rate": 0.2605633802816901,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"selection": {
"n": 51,
"net_R": 37.3740371858543,
"expectancy_R": 0.7328242585461627,
"pf": 2.0449331749542883,
"max_drawdown_R": 14.586311289710427,
"win_rate": 0.27450980392156865,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"last_20_percent": {
"n": 46,
"net_R": -3.775890515740198,
"expectancy_R": -0.08208457642913473,
"pf": 0.8664627709466661,
"max_drawdown_R": 9.538677241630607,
"win_rate": 0.30434782608695654,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"base_passed": false,
"open_position": {
"side": -1,
"entry": 2255.41,
"rd": 39.585006137498524,
"sl": 2294.9950061374984,
"tp": 2176.2399877250027,
"highest": 2269.61,
"lowest": 2206.28,
"bars": 14,
"open_ts": "2026-11-05 18:00:00+00:00",
"pending_exit": null,
"unreal_R": 0.6199843171617309
},
"bars": 8999,
"start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
"end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
},
"SOLUSDT-1h": {
"spec": {
"version": "3.0.0",
"signal": "IND_HT_TRENDLINE",
"exit": "opp",
"regime": "todo",
"market": "SOLUSDT-1h",
"cost_bps": 10.0,
"atr_period": 20,
"sl_atr": 1.5,
"trail_atr": 2.5,
"rr": 2.0,
"max_hold": 300,
"risk_pct": 0.1,
"funding_approved": false,
"cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
"id": "1ddfaf0e01ede5b39808"
},
"train": {
"n": 135,
"net_R": -1.9975390575483472,
"expectancy_R": -0.014796585611469237,
"pf": 0.9774499026093251,
"max_drawdown_R": 26.482510386432963,
"win_rate": 0.2740740740740741,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"selection": {
"n": 41,
"net_R": 1.6943665790991038,
"expectancy_R": 0.041326014124368385,
"pf": 1.0555659190850128,
"max_drawdown_R": 9.196098243823783,
"win_rate": 0.2682926829268293,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"last_20_percent": {
"n": 49,
"net_R": -14.726426787166998,
"expectancy_R": -0.30053932218708157,
"pf": 0.49936525576083396,
"max_drawdown_R": 14.90049151657736,
"win_rate": 0.24489795918367346,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"base_passed": false,
"open_position": {
"side": -1,
"entry": 90.34,
"rd": 1.7619587201549922,
"sl": 92.101958720155,
"tp": 86.81608255969002,
"highest": 90.57,
"lowest": 88.3,
"bars": 15,
"open_ts": "2026-11-05 17:00:00+00:00",
"pending_exit": null,
"unreal_R": 0.3234979307289656
},
"bars": 8999,
"start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
"end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
},
"BNBUSDT-1h": {
"spec": {
"version": "3.0.0",
"signal": "IND_HT_TRENDLINE",
"exit": "opp",
"regime": "todo",
"market": "BNBUSDT-1h",
"cost_bps": 9.0,
"atr_period": 20,
"sl_atr": 1.5,
"trail_atr": 2.5,
"rr": 2.0,
"max_hold": 300,
"risk_pct": 0.1,
"funding_approved": false,
"cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
"id": "7be3393440388288a00f"
},
"train": {
"n": 148,
"net_R": -35.88848943967739,
"expectancy_R": -0.24248979351133373,
"pf": 0.6610323936419589,
"max_drawdown_R": 40.2447449645832,
"win_rate": 0.25,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"selection": {
"n": 44,
"net_R": -16.144803256110507,
"expectancy_R": -0.3669273467297842,
"pf": 0.47856631512912096,
"max_drawdown_R": 16.8548681876898,
"win_rate": 0.2727272727272727,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"last_20_percent": {
"n": 45,
"net_R": -6.35465695487561,
"expectancy_R": -0.1412145989972358,
"pf": 0.7802483384908971,
"max_drawdown_R": 11.352320389078663,
"win_rate": 0.28888888888888886,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"base_passed": false,
"open_position": {
"side": -1,
"entry": 691.68,
"rd": 7.662536511869504,
"sl": 699.3425365118694,
"tp": 676.3549269762609,
"highest": 696.3,
"lowest": 683.94,
"bars": 14,
"open_ts": "2026-11-05 18:00:00+00:00",
"pending_exit": null,
"unreal_R": 0.08196378562465975
},
"bars": 8999,
"start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
"end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
},
"XRPUSDT-1h": {
"spec": {
"version": "3.0.0",
"signal": "IND_HT_TRENDLINE",
"exit": "opp",
"regime": "todo",
"market": "XRPUSDT-1h",
"cost_bps": 10.0,
"atr_period": 20,
"sl_atr": 1.5,
"trail_atr": 2.5,
"rr": 2.0,
"max_hold": 300,
"risk_pct": 0.1,
"funding_approved": false,
"cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
"id": "767c9d51e3bca791075f"
},
"train": {
"n": 159,
"net_R": 17.93760294483382,
"expectancy_R": 0.11281511286059007,
"pf": 1.155320642308667,
"max_drawdown_R": 21.331441717701754,
"win_rate": 0.2578616352201258,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"selection": {
"n": 45,
"net_R": -8.463820995259013,
"expectancy_R": -0.18808491100575583,
"pf": 0.7175881334387895,
"max_drawdown_R": 15.911026198408024,
"win_rate": 0.26666666666666666,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"last_20_percent": {
"n": 49,
"net_R": -10.766993900632519,
"expectancy_R": -0.21973456940066366,
"pf": 0.630285363747639,
"max_drawdown_R": 11.391233063831422,
"win_rate": 0.2857142857142857,
"curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
"funding_approved": false
},
"base_passed": false,
"open_position": {
"side": -1,
"entry": 1.2437,
"rd": 0.0199131320798313,
"sl": 1.2636131320798314,
"tp": 1.2038737358403375,
"highest": 1.2457,
"lowest": 1.1776,
"bars": 15,
"open_ts": "2026-11-05 17:00:00+00:00",
"pending_exit": null,
"unreal_R": 2.8416022036689794
},
"bars": 8999,
"start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
"end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
}
},
"selection_bias": "Repeated rolling search; not independent final validation"
}