IAORION

Informe de investigación PAT_SHOOTINGSTAR

Motor 3 · Investigación. No es una cuenta financiada ni una promesa de ganancias.

trend/opp

No supera filtros de desarrollo/selección o estabilidad

{
  "id": "597dec154cd82ff88ee9",
  "engine_version": "3.0.0",
  "entrada": "PAT_SHOOTINGSTAR",
  "familia": "Velas",
  "regimen": "trend",
  "salida": "opp",
  "activos": [],
  "discovery_assets": [],
  "descubierto": null,
  "first_seen": "2026-10-13T08:39:15.136458+00:00",
  "evaluated_at": "2026-11-06T08:00:01.996908+00:00",
  "categoria": "DESCARTADA",
  "base_passed": false,
  "walk_forward": null,
  "forward": {
    "n": 0,
    "net_R": 0.0,
    "expectancy_R": null,
    "pf": null,
    "max_drawdown_R": 0.0,
    "win_rate": null,
    "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
    "funding_approved": false
  },
  "funding_approved": false,
  "p_revienta": null,
  "risk_probability_status": "not_estimated",
  "razon": "No supera filtros de desarrollo/selección o estabilidad",
  "markets": {
    "BTCUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SHOOTINGSTAR",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "BTCUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 8.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "a232e0b34dcae049784e"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 20,
        "net_R": -9.07532555319959,
        "expectancy_R": -0.4537662776599795,
        "pf": 0.5144719837118886,
        "max_drawdown_R": 14.826950263116288,
        "win_rate": 0.1,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 3,
        "net_R": 9.650310942611087,
        "expectancy_R": 3.216770314203696,
        "pf": 10.148734687706108,
        "max_drawdown_R": 1.0548246584939212,
        "win_rate": 0.6666666666666666,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 2,
        "net_R": -2.075729191739609,
        "expectancy_R": -1.0378645958698045,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 2.075729191739609,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "ETHUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SHOOTINGSTAR",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "ETHUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "f1e36e4314d36629aa30"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 12,
        "net_R": -3.1746444997797294,
        "expectancy_R": -0.26455370831497743,
        "pf": 0.7203591579278298,
        "max_drawdown_R": 11.352578100735407,
        "win_rate": 0.08333333333333333,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 2,
        "net_R": -2.050687861209177,
        "expectancy_R": -1.0253439306045884,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 2.050687861209177,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 3,
        "net_R": 8.821374071829203,
        "expectancy_R": 2.9404580239430675,
        "pf": 5.251911889103479,
        "max_drawdown_R": 2.074684119027971,
        "win_rate": 0.3333333333333333,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 2776.2,
        "rd": 64.07141295379877,
        "sl": 2840.2714129537985,
        "tp": 2648.0571740924024,
        "highest": 2789.0,
        "lowest": 2174.08,
        "bars": 272,
        "open_ts": "2026-09-22 00:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 8.507658913235833
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "SOLUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SHOOTINGSTAR",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "SOLUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "05857abd14c20f5e5aaa"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 7,
        "net_R": -3.218782675659547,
        "expectancy_R": -0.45982609652279244,
        "pf": 0.4177530259441667,
        "max_drawdown_R": 4.497758646517787,
        "win_rate": 0.14285714285714285,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 1,
        "net_R": -1.0440781466267441,
        "expectancy_R": -1.0440781466267441,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 1.0440781466267441,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 3,
        "net_R": -3.112243613715237,
        "expectancy_R": -1.037414537905079,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 3.112243613715237,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BNBUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SHOOTINGSTAR",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "BNBUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "6129a4991f75348cd871"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 11,
        "net_R": -8.557678064827453,
        "expectancy_R": -0.7779707331661321,
        "pf": 0.1686176704306689,
        "max_drawdown_R": 9.264764059571554,
        "win_rate": 0.09090909090909091,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 8,
        "net_R": -8.384600849941213,
        "expectancy_R": -1.0480751062426517,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 8.384600849941213,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 5,
        "net_R": 2.1228112464210716,
        "expectancy_R": 0.4245622492842143,
        "pf": 1.5055845329003061,
        "max_drawdown_R": 4.198726638735324,
        "win_rate": 0.2,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "XRPUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SHOOTINGSTAR",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "XRPUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "c751cd878840d94937fe"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 11,
        "net_R": -11.364472105003493,
        "expectancy_R": -1.0331338277275903,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 11.364472105003493,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 4,
        "net_R": 7.461509668811964,
        "expectancy_R": 1.865377417202991,
        "pf": 3.4115818981222583,
        "max_drawdown_R": 3.0940312143749944,
        "win_rate": 0.25,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 6,
        "net_R": 15.756639987028684,
        "expectancy_R": 2.6261066645047806,
        "pf": 4.777920279390075,
        "max_drawdown_R": 3.1333071729517172,
        "win_rate": 0.3333333333333333,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BTCUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SHOOTINGSTAR",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "BTCUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 8.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "320cd87a8010a710e355"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 16,
        "net_R": 19.653758093853256,
        "expectancy_R": 1.2283598808658285,
        "pf": 2.4947465021383586,
        "max_drawdown_R": 7.638457009268217,
        "win_rate": 0.25,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 2,
        "net_R": -2.2209606294084585,
        "expectancy_R": -1.1104803147042293,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 2.2209606294084585,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 4,
        "net_R": -4.4454297233909585,
        "expectancy_R": -1.1113574308477396,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 4.4454297233909585,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "ETHUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SHOOTINGSTAR",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "ETHUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "eff14a3abbcc389b1636"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 18,
        "net_R": -1.4384204745718512,
        "expectancy_R": -0.07991224858732507,
        "pf": 0.920564787285878,
        "max_drawdown_R": 9.627717310211427,
        "win_rate": 0.05555555555555555,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 5,
        "net_R": -5.484840078353159,
        "expectancy_R": -1.0969680156706318,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 5.484840078353159,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 6,
        "net_R": -6.551870188035167,
        "expectancy_R": -1.0919783646725278,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 6.551870188035167,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 2435.0,
        "rd": 37.770259340658754,
        "sl": 2472.770259340659,
        "tp": 2359.4594813186823,
        "highest": 2444.75,
        "lowest": 2206.28,
        "bars": 39,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-04 17:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 5.402432259191398
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "SOLUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SHOOTINGSTAR",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "SOLUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "0ee04351591ae6504f88"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 10,
        "net_R": 13.77197527405711,
        "expectancy_R": 1.377197527405711,
        "pf": 2.4386277149855817,
        "max_drawdown_R": 6.434436099940891,
        "win_rate": 0.1,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 1,
        "net_R": 5.925754681910063,
        "expectancy_R": 5.925754681910063,
        "pf": null,
        "max_drawdown_R": 0.0,
        "win_rate": 1.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 3,
        "net_R": -3.2173489299852003,
        "expectancy_R": -1.0724496433284,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 3.2173489299852003,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BNBUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SHOOTINGSTAR",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "BNBUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "530a25b116ab223c77cb"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 14,
        "net_R": -6.433400451908413,
        "expectancy_R": -0.4595286037077438,
        "pf": 0.5086123493389,
        "max_drawdown_R": 6.52462652759335,
        "win_rate": 0.14285714285714285,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 2,
        "net_R": -2.2694547512623213,
        "expectancy_R": -1.1347273756311607,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 2.2694547512623213,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 7,
        "net_R": 11.219164879586218,
        "expectancy_R": 1.6027378399408883,
        "pf": 3.0270265387286552,
        "max_drawdown_R": 2.282994454749769,
        "win_rate": 0.2857142857142857,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "XRPUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SHOOTINGSTAR",
        "exit": "opp",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "XRPUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "81982a1023b6152bd71e"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 15,
        "net_R": 2.833960994310142,
        "expectancy_R": 0.18893073295400947,
        "pf": 1.2005737298686137,
        "max_drawdown_R": 8.773056445061176,
        "win_rate": 0.13333333333333333,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 4,
        "net_R": -4.436590140326129,
        "expectancy_R": -1.1091475350815323,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 4.436590140326129,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 4,
        "net_R": -4.339874114268186,
        "expectancy_R": -1.0849685285670465,
        "pf": 0.0,
        "max_drawdown_R": 4.339874114268186,
        "win_rate": 0.0,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    }
  },
  "selection_bias": "Repeated rolling search; not independent final validation"
}

Registro completo