IAORION

Informe de investigación PAT_SPINNINGTOP

Motor 3 · Investigación. No es una cuenta financiada ni una promesa de ganancias.

trend/rr2

No supera filtros de desarrollo/selección o estabilidad

{
  "id": "aca1c894652bd3d4bfb8",
  "engine_version": "3.0.0",
  "entrada": "PAT_SPINNINGTOP",
  "familia": "Velas",
  "regimen": "trend",
  "salida": "rr2",
  "activos": [
    "BTCUSDT-4h"
  ],
  "discovery_assets": [],
  "descubierto": "2026-10-30T00:00:01.749944+00:00",
  "first_seen": "2026-10-13T08:39:15.136458+00:00",
  "evaluated_at": "2026-11-06T08:00:01.996908+00:00",
  "categoria": "DESCARTADA",
  "base_passed": false,
  "walk_forward": 1.0,
  "forward": {
    "n": 0,
    "net_R": 0.0,
    "expectancy_R": null,
    "pf": null,
    "max_drawdown_R": 0.0,
    "win_rate": null,
    "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
    "funding_approved": false
  },
  "funding_approved": false,
  "p_revienta": null,
  "risk_probability_status": "not_estimated",
  "razon": "No supera filtros de desarrollo/selección o estabilidad",
  "markets": {
    "BTCUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SPINNINGTOP",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "BTCUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 8.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "cbf0f1255091ba87e4bf"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 195,
        "net_R": 21.444016556252343,
        "expectancy_R": 0.10996931567308894,
        "pf": 1.1724030718216145,
        "max_drawdown_R": 9.601604820326425,
        "win_rate": 0.38461538461538464,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 75,
        "net_R": 17.538613607265454,
        "expectancy_R": 0.23384818143020605,
        "pf": 1.3905032351019595,
        "max_drawdown_R": 9.634521686638676,
        "win_rate": 0.4266666666666667,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 76,
        "net_R": -4.347764228462239,
        "expectancy_R": -0.05720742405871367,
        "pf": 0.9184163045445843,
        "max_drawdown_R": 18.550885770115464,
        "win_rate": 0.32894736842105265,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": true,
      "open_position": {
        "side": 1,
        "entry": 76368.26,
        "rd": 1658.2862395985383,
        "sl": 74709.97376040145,
        "tp": 79684.83247919707,
        "highest": 76416.24,
        "lowest": 75208.42,
        "bars": 3,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-05 20:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": -0.4905688201314005
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "ETHUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SPINNINGTOP",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "ETHUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "9a368d8b6819eea32c07"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 199,
        "net_R": 0.7244107536283888,
        "expectancy_R": 0.003640255043358738,
        "pf": 1.0053813582027848,
        "max_drawdown_R": 15.134887992048103,
        "win_rate": 0.34673366834170855,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 78,
        "net_R": 15.757268616118466,
        "expectancy_R": 0.2020162643092111,
        "pf": 1.3333040503518812,
        "max_drawdown_R": 7.295439668223897,
        "win_rate": 0.41025641025641024,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 72,
        "net_R": 3.46459416295027,
        "expectancy_R": 0.048119363374309304,
        "pf": 1.0726894359546206,
        "max_drawdown_R": 15.160303880297073,
        "win_rate": 0.3611111111111111,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": 1,
        "entry": 2262.04,
        "rd": 64.87044859306197,
        "sl": 2197.169551406938,
        "tp": 2391.780897186124,
        "highest": 2262.04,
        "lowest": 2206.28,
        "bars": 3,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-05 20:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": -0.5427879915072136
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "SOLUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SPINNINGTOP",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "SOLUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "e261d1e2c210b694ce61"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 224,
        "net_R": 1.7076318316392083,
        "expectancy_R": 0.007623356391246465,
        "pf": 1.0113543892621486,
        "max_drawdown_R": 30.741291624103265,
        "win_rate": 0.34375,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 66,
        "net_R": -4.85212140558143,
        "expectancy_R": -0.07351699099365804,
        "pf": 0.8950165761018214,
        "max_drawdown_R": 11.208074958276534,
        "win_rate": 0.3181818181818182,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 73,
        "net_R": 5.465929177865721,
        "expectancy_R": 0.07487574216254413,
        "pf": 1.1147199262005048,
        "max_drawdown_R": 13.946192781188346,
        "win_rate": 0.3698630136986301,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 90.12,
        "rd": 3.1693843738513596,
        "sl": 93.28938437385136,
        "tp": 83.78123125229729,
        "highest": 90.57,
        "lowest": 88.3,
        "bars": 3,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-05 20:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 0.1104630927344936
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BNBUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SPINNINGTOP",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "BNBUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "db7d8e60133671f07aba"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 196,
        "net_R": -8.666784277895069,
        "expectancy_R": -0.044218287132117694,
        "pf": 0.9363274672779742,
        "max_drawdown_R": 26.0444484339736,
        "win_rate": 0.33163265306122447,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 75,
        "net_R": 2.845439342316634,
        "expectancy_R": 0.03793919123088845,
        "pf": 1.0568994555526647,
        "max_drawdown_R": 12.72275377567256,
        "win_rate": 0.36,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 59,
        "net_R": 16.280736459197183,
        "expectancy_R": 0.2759446857491048,
        "pf": 1.4709772651660797,
        "max_drawdown_R": 12.876104099750915,
        "win_rate": 0.4406779661016949,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": 1,
        "entry": 700.23,
        "rd": 20.238367379288142,
        "sl": 679.9916326207119,
        "tp": 740.7067347585763,
        "highest": 723.42,
        "lowest": 680.74,
        "bars": 40,
        "open_ts": "2026-10-30 16:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": -0.5151501010239484
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "XRPUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SPINNINGTOP",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "XRPUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "d5cf7e423976403a7eaa"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 178,
        "net_R": -16.101020841357936,
        "expectancy_R": -0.09045517326605582,
        "pf": 0.8719157528198909,
        "max_drawdown_R": 30.34250863050926,
        "win_rate": 0.3146067415730337,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 70,
        "net_R": -12.17741339658469,
        "expectancy_R": -0.17396304852263844,
        "pf": 0.7637767815092719,
        "max_drawdown_R": 19.6892948724549,
        "win_rate": 0.2857142857142857,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 56,
        "net_R": 13.999178944000166,
        "expectancy_R": 0.24998533828571726,
        "pf": 1.4223730480747099,
        "max_drawdown_R": 11.679883053604506,
        "win_rate": 0.42857142857142855,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BTCUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SPINNINGTOP",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "BTCUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 8.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "5acddd06167d5ac692de"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 207,
        "net_R": -8.44342540699067,
        "expectancy_R": -0.04078949471976169,
        "pf": 0.9421918434131793,
        "max_drawdown_R": 37.82011217212282,
        "win_rate": 0.34782608695652173,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 55,
        "net_R": -18.99092334583341,
        "expectancy_R": -0.34528951537878927,
        "pf": 0.5852546280351519,
        "max_drawdown_R": 24.723029015380337,
        "win_rate": 0.2545454545454545,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 65,
        "net_R": -2.6660139566402528,
        "expectancy_R": -0.041015599332926964,
        "pf": 0.942199644515598,
        "max_drawdown_R": 10.88172327487942,
        "win_rate": 0.35384615384615387,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": 1,
        "entry": 76195.63,
        "rd": 906.5186860491447,
        "sl": 75289.11131395087,
        "tp": 78008.6673720983,
        "highest": 76280.01,
        "lowest": 75304.11,
        "bars": 5,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-06 03:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": -0.7068850117064902
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "ETHUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SPINNINGTOP",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "ETHUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "af70a1d08585fea8da2b"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 205,
        "net_R": 29.89661686112743,
        "expectancy_R": 0.1458371554201338,
        "pf": 1.2290186242837369,
        "max_drawdown_R": 12.288110642659708,
        "win_rate": 0.40487804878048783,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 59,
        "net_R": -1.4417378314646982,
        "expectancy_R": -0.024436234431605055,
        "pf": 0.9653148297996799,
        "max_drawdown_R": 14.228485860713661,
        "win_rate": 0.3559322033898305,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 62,
        "net_R": 10.877443864622446,
        "expectancy_R": 0.1754426429777814,
        "pf": 1.2791046500756074,
        "max_drawdown_R": 10.065883823372033,
        "win_rate": 0.41935483870967744,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 2252.1,
        "rd": 38.9745058306236,
        "sl": 2291.0745058306234,
        "tp": 2174.1509883387525,
        "highest": 2269.61,
        "lowest": 2206.28,
        "bars": 13,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-05 19:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 0.544806715248101
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "SOLUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SPINNINGTOP",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "SOLUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "44f2b961880561ddc66a"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 195,
        "net_R": -33.83774316621546,
        "expectancy_R": -0.17352688803187416,
        "pf": 0.7683223121505324,
        "max_drawdown_R": 44.410470207558525,
        "win_rate": 0.29743589743589743,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 68,
        "net_R": 12.911659001639606,
        "expectancy_R": 0.18987733825940598,
        "pf": 1.3044775659537462,
        "max_drawdown_R": 7.7505622801513,
        "win_rate": 0.4264705882352941,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 55,
        "net_R": 4.009985765554329,
        "expectancy_R": 0.0729088321009878,
        "pf": 1.1100635817437976,
        "max_drawdown_R": 9.979722525361368,
        "win_rate": 0.38181818181818183,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 90.24,
        "rd": 1.711365008604371,
        "sl": 91.95136500860437,
        "tp": 86.81726998279126,
        "highest": 90.57,
        "lowest": 88.94,
        "bars": 6,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-06 02:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 0.27465794709879493
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BNBUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SPINNINGTOP",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "BNBUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "a6dd0bebbc3cba472877"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 171,
        "net_R": -18.352962422583843,
        "expectancy_R": -0.10732726562914528,
        "pf": 0.8537092895576056,
        "max_drawdown_R": 24.00547518803849,
        "win_rate": 0.32748538011695905,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 62,
        "net_R": -6.810419158878761,
        "expectancy_R": -0.10984547030449615,
        "pf": 0.8520015967317061,
        "max_drawdown_R": 14.381012628013371,
        "win_rate": 0.3387096774193548,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 56,
        "net_R": -7.834921250253329,
        "expectancy_R": -0.13990930804023802,
        "pf": 0.8133350281646335,
        "max_drawdown_R": 14.773001862928124,
        "win_rate": 0.32142857142857145,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 694.2,
        "rd": 7.299027440122849,
        "sl": 701.4990274401229,
        "tp": 679.6019451197543,
        "highest": 696.3,
        "lowest": 686.51,
        "bars": 6,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-06 02:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 0.4311418919596677
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "XRPUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SPINNINGTOP",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "trend",
        "market": "XRPUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "6c127b6ea34db80a55b4"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 204,
        "net_R": -27.3048673066584,
        "expectancy_R": -0.13384738875812943,
        "pf": 0.8188674342016345,
        "max_drawdown_R": 41.55909351010301,
        "win_rate": 0.3137254901960784,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 64,
        "net_R": 7.970864716182832,
        "expectancy_R": 0.12454476119035675,
        "pf": 1.1905589762021616,
        "max_drawdown_R": 8.403310039868687,
        "win_rate": 0.40625,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 65,
        "net_R": -6.572077245724133,
        "expectancy_R": -0.1011088807034482,
        "pf": 0.8599360969030666,
        "max_drawdown_R": 17.374512514820868,
        "win_rate": 0.3230769230769231,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 1.2168,
        "rd": 0.020333643652605704,
        "sl": 1.237133643652606,
        "tp": 1.1761327126947887,
        "highest": 1.2228,
        "lowest": 1.1776,
        "bars": 6,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-06 02:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 1.4605670536669577
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    }
  },
  "selection_bias": "Repeated rolling search; not independent final validation"
}

Registro completo