IAORION

Informe de investigación IND_MA

Motor 3 · Investigación. No es una cuenta financiada ni una promesa de ganancias.

todo/trail

No supera filtros de desarrollo/selección o estabilidad

{
  "id": "c824daf27cad4b146982",
  "engine_version": "3.0.0",
  "entrada": "IND_MA",
  "familia": "Overlap Studies",
  "regimen": "todo",
  "salida": "trail",
  "activos": [
    "XRPUSDT-4h"
  ],
  "discovery_assets": [
    "BTCUSDT-4h",
    "XRPUSDT-4h"
  ],
  "descubierto": "2026-10-13T08:39:15.136458+00:00",
  "first_seen": "2026-10-13T08:39:15.136458+00:00",
  "evaluated_at": "2026-11-06T08:00:01.996908+00:00",
  "categoria": "DESCARTADA",
  "base_passed": false,
  "walk_forward": 0.6666666666666666,
  "forward": {
    "n": 12,
    "net_R": -5.24684746134091,
    "expectancy_R": -0.43723728844507587,
    "pf": 0.29907939216625123,
    "max_drawdown_R": 5.24684746134091,
    "win_rate": 0.25,
    "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
    "funding_approved": false
  },
  "funding_approved": false,
  "p_revienta": null,
  "risk_probability_status": "not_estimated",
  "razon": "No supera filtros de desarrollo/selección o estabilidad",
  "markets": {
    "BTCUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "IND_MA",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BTCUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 8.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "1cb100fd39f113570720"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 152,
        "net_R": 12.470458237956315,
        "expectancy_R": 0.08204248840760733,
        "pf": 1.1517547614265367,
        "max_drawdown_R": 22.155587732343438,
        "win_rate": 0.3355263157894737,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 50,
        "net_R": 2.8728535644857205,
        "expectancy_R": 0.05745707128971441,
        "pf": 1.0998433712759734,
        "max_drawdown_R": 6.072640724843801,
        "win_rate": 0.32,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 49,
        "net_R": -4.9240365843023675,
        "expectancy_R": -0.10049054253678301,
        "pf": 0.827127997358424,
        "max_drawdown_R": 16.352585627712354,
        "win_rate": 0.30612244897959184,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 75912.71,
        "rd": 1629.3714062376812,
        "sl": 77542.08140623769,
        "tp": 72653.96718752464,
        "highest": 75920.01,
        "lowest": 75304.11,
        "bars": 1,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 0.14517788583648278
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "ETHUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "IND_MA",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "ETHUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "3e42f4b21d8737f172c8"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 149,
        "net_R": 33.662045079482525,
        "expectancy_R": 0.2259197656341109,
        "pf": 1.433296141574635,
        "max_drawdown_R": 11.26794227101935,
        "win_rate": 0.3691275167785235,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 53,
        "net_R": -3.660976497218937,
        "expectancy_R": -0.0690750282494139,
        "pf": 0.8938850013232529,
        "max_drawdown_R": 12.27368295962759,
        "win_rate": 0.22641509433962265,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 59,
        "net_R": 3.102471054251673,
        "expectancy_R": 0.052584255156808014,
        "pf": 1.0833783221963376,
        "max_drawdown_R": 18.712045645487265,
        "win_rate": 0.288135593220339,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "SOLUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "IND_MA",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "SOLUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "8f53e65eca877e715d70"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 127,
        "net_R": 12.798098773545647,
        "expectancy_R": 0.10077243128776099,
        "pf": 1.2081404622673735,
        "max_drawdown_R": 10.285848719808339,
        "win_rate": 0.4094488188976378,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 48,
        "net_R": -3.394649009473828,
        "expectancy_R": -0.07072185436403809,
        "pf": 0.8838908095641601,
        "max_drawdown_R": 10.859370758765213,
        "win_rate": 0.25,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 49,
        "net_R": -6.501270035430035,
        "expectancy_R": -0.13267898031489866,
        "pf": 0.7607607836594975,
        "max_drawdown_R": 13.121455746489902,
        "win_rate": 0.2857142857142857,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BNBUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "IND_MA",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BNBUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "b4b3df4601ce4b8de901"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 140,
        "net_R": 3.9290127522879406,
        "expectancy_R": 0.028064376802056718,
        "pf": 1.0568073435687082,
        "max_drawdown_R": 15.90253356777551,
        "win_rate": 0.3357142857142857,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 48,
        "net_R": -19.679633854985045,
        "expectancy_R": -0.40999237197885513,
        "pf": 0.3655315219045661,
        "max_drawdown_R": 19.679633854985045,
        "win_rate": 0.25,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 56,
        "net_R": 6.9946630747103935,
        "expectancy_R": 0.1249046977626856,
        "pf": 1.2977932786394466,
        "max_drawdown_R": 7.093712362410696,
        "win_rate": 0.48214285714285715,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 689.73,
        "rd": 15.696124972087333,
        "sl": 705.4261249720873,
        "tp": 658.3377500558254,
        "highest": 696.3,
        "lowest": 686.51,
        "bars": 2,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-06 00:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": -0.0841654868541895
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "XRPUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "IND_MA",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "XRPUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "48611cfee26715add322"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 132,
        "net_R": 19.674292803717954,
        "expectancy_R": 0.14904767275543904,
        "pf": 1.3241436706299747,
        "max_drawdown_R": 15.86113808517284,
        "win_rate": 0.4015151515151515,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 47,
        "net_R": 22.669399724570827,
        "expectancy_R": 0.4823276537142729,
        "pf": 1.9186409547479326,
        "max_drawdown_R": 6.280141583551716,
        "win_rate": 0.40425531914893614,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 49,
        "net_R": -6.7999989416864635,
        "expectancy_R": -0.13877548860584618,
        "pf": 0.7628276535635421,
        "max_drawdown_R": 10.590642271196316,
        "win_rate": 0.30612244897959184,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": true,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BTCUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "IND_MA",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BTCUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 8.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "3a81444eac9822993089"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 131,
        "net_R": -6.953148063929831,
        "expectancy_R": -0.05307746613686894,
        "pf": 0.9088699036974109,
        "max_drawdown_R": 22.523168259434826,
        "win_rate": 0.31297709923664124,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 50,
        "net_R": -8.49005171756595,
        "expectancy_R": -0.169801034351319,
        "pf": 0.6881139489822106,
        "max_drawdown_R": 16.917136135015518,
        "win_rate": 0.46,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 52,
        "net_R": 10.166706549927895,
        "expectancy_R": 0.19551358749861336,
        "pf": 1.4259924651786595,
        "max_drawdown_R": 7.1315792045897375,
        "win_rate": 0.38461538461538464,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 75952.45,
        "rd": 975.361862196352,
        "sl": 76617.67932485552,
        "tp": 74001.72627560729,
        "highest": 76559.8,
        "lowest": 75208.42,
        "bars": 14,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-05 18:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 0.28325159175064935
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "ETHUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "IND_MA",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "ETHUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "3644dfc7b19a6c008311"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 147,
        "net_R": -22.816271275526404,
        "expectancy_R": -0.15521272976548575,
        "pf": 0.7496362423369302,
        "max_drawdown_R": 28.382092796144004,
        "win_rate": 0.2789115646258503,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 56,
        "net_R": 8.715323539632482,
        "expectancy_R": 0.15563077749343718,
        "pf": 1.268816810960553,
        "max_drawdown_R": 15.59533110310421,
        "win_rate": 0.375,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 54,
        "net_R": -3.9775272489493085,
        "expectancy_R": -0.07365791201757979,
        "pf": 0.8498968332107312,
        "max_drawdown_R": 7.903597950019709,
        "win_rate": 0.3888888888888889,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 2252.1,
        "rd": 38.9745058306236,
        "sl": 2262.8831780299593,
        "tp": 2174.1509883387525,
        "highest": 2269.61,
        "lowest": 2206.28,
        "bars": 13,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-05 19:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 0.544806715248101
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "SOLUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "IND_MA",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "SOLUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "72a79d025b5c1720deea"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 143,
        "net_R": -17.353900047664887,
        "expectancy_R": -0.12135594438926495,
        "pf": 0.7999289934141988,
        "max_drawdown_R": 20.693148361851744,
        "win_rate": 0.3006993006993007,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 45,
        "net_R": 9.149006743657647,
        "expectancy_R": 0.20331126097016994,
        "pf": 1.3809192529825278,
        "max_drawdown_R": 9.146601229574983,
        "win_rate": 0.4,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 58,
        "net_R": 13.760579652204411,
        "expectancy_R": 0.23725137331386917,
        "pf": 1.462041414020037,
        "max_drawdown_R": 8.45257488762383,
        "win_rate": 0.41379310344827586,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 89.19,
        "rd": 1.7833607841472419,
        "sl": 90.87815733053034,
        "tp": 85.62327843170551,
        "highest": 90.57,
        "lowest": 88.3,
        "bars": 14,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-05 18:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": -0.32491182106882555
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BNBUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "IND_MA",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BNBUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "456206b6b75af2f2cc5a"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 142,
        "net_R": 10.761343109531477,
        "expectancy_R": 0.07578410640515125,
        "pf": 1.1346025192126266,
        "max_drawdown_R": 18.394463792296868,
        "win_rate": 0.3380281690140845,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 50,
        "net_R": -12.449677031204883,
        "expectancy_R": -0.24899354062409768,
        "pf": 0.5747564602096921,
        "max_drawdown_R": 15.504075250181117,
        "win_rate": 0.36,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 53,
        "net_R": 8.444615338315057,
        "expectancy_R": 0.15933236487386898,
        "pf": 1.3334448924146614,
        "max_drawdown_R": 6.231976187763696,
        "win_rate": 0.4528301886792453,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": null,
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "XRPUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "IND_MA",
        "exit": "trail",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "XRPUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "ce8b60152c701f1d67e1"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 154,
        "net_R": 7.562700222924542,
        "expectancy_R": 0.04910844300600352,
        "pf": 1.0890994011169755,
        "max_drawdown_R": 15.027965377917052,
        "win_rate": 0.34415584415584416,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 45,
        "net_R": 0.4583870395966212,
        "expectancy_R": 0.010186378657702694,
        "pf": 1.0181409290038226,
        "max_drawdown_R": 10.485641618897477,
        "win_rate": 0.4222222222222222,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 54,
        "net_R": 8.218996408159864,
        "expectancy_R": 0.15220363718814564,
        "pf": 1.3142042408039358,
        "max_drawdown_R": 5.065890734232298,
        "win_rate": 0.37037037037037035,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 1.2351,
        "rd": 0.019877475475839748,
        "sl": 1.209724738229867,
        "tp": 1.1953450490483206,
        "highest": 1.2457,
        "lowest": 1.1776,
        "bars": 14,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-05 18:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 2.414265335571883
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    }
  },
  "selection_bias": "Repeated rolling search; not independent final validation"
}

Registro completo