IAORION

Informe de investigación PAT_SPINNINGTOP

Motor 3 · Investigación. No es una cuenta financiada ni una promesa de ganancias.

todo/rr2

No supera filtros de desarrollo/selección o estabilidad

{
  "id": "e51785ad0da79c06b839",
  "engine_version": "3.0.0",
  "entrada": "PAT_SPINNINGTOP",
  "familia": "Velas",
  "regimen": "todo",
  "salida": "rr2",
  "activos": [],
  "discovery_assets": [],
  "descubierto": null,
  "first_seen": "2026-10-13T08:39:15.136458+00:00",
  "evaluated_at": "2026-11-06T08:00:01.996908+00:00",
  "categoria": "DESCARTADA",
  "base_passed": false,
  "walk_forward": null,
  "forward": {
    "n": 0,
    "net_R": 0.0,
    "expectancy_R": null,
    "pf": null,
    "max_drawdown_R": 0.0,
    "win_rate": null,
    "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
    "funding_approved": false
  },
  "funding_approved": false,
  "p_revienta": null,
  "risk_probability_status": "not_estimated",
  "razon": "No supera filtros de desarrollo/selección o estabilidad",
  "markets": {
    "BTCUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SPINNINGTOP",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BTCUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 8.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "2275a5ab91a90b9533c1"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 297,
        "net_R": 14.082189510662005,
        "expectancy_R": 0.04741477949717847,
        "pf": 1.071692154205984,
        "max_drawdown_R": 14.87130727918779,
        "win_rate": 0.36363636363636365,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 112,
        "net_R": 29.738461281815372,
        "expectancy_R": 0.2655219757304944,
        "pf": 1.451207090395652,
        "max_drawdown_R": 12.652701509390567,
        "win_rate": 0.4375,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 111,
        "net_R": -16.970057796451115,
        "expectancy_R": -0.15288340357163166,
        "pf": 0.7917958244886443,
        "max_drawdown_R": 28.529906428315655,
        "win_rate": 0.2972972972972973,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": 1,
        "entry": 76368.26,
        "rd": 1658.2862395985383,
        "sl": 74709.97376040145,
        "tp": 79684.83247919707,
        "highest": 76416.24,
        "lowest": 75208.42,
        "bars": 3,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-05 20:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": -0.4905688201314005
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "ETHUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SPINNINGTOP",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "ETHUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "fc523c1a6ca9c477856e"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 294,
        "net_R": -8.133298025333216,
        "expectancy_R": -0.02766427899773203,
        "pf": 0.9597980466851975,
        "max_drawdown_R": 23.006405754168117,
        "win_rate": 0.336734693877551,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 103,
        "net_R": 29.044544738609893,
        "expectancy_R": 0.2819858712486397,
        "pf": 1.4873563899628528,
        "max_drawdown_R": 10.291641606904854,
        "win_rate": 0.4368932038834951,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 105,
        "net_R": -6.836814627044907,
        "expectancy_R": -0.06511252025757054,
        "pf": 0.9072144302141495,
        "max_drawdown_R": 26.863782596402416,
        "win_rate": 0.3238095238095238,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": 1,
        "entry": 2262.04,
        "rd": 64.87044859306197,
        "sl": 2197.169551406938,
        "tp": 2391.780897186124,
        "highest": 2262.04,
        "lowest": 2206.28,
        "bars": 3,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-05 20:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": -0.5427879915072136
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "SOLUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SPINNINGTOP",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "SOLUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "c9189e7adeddea214d6d"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 291,
        "net_R": -3.948814917385178,
        "expectancy_R": -0.013569810712663843,
        "pf": 0.9800118226247758,
        "max_drawdown_R": 34.58841799935626,
        "win_rate": 0.33676975945017185,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 99,
        "net_R": 3.219311205449957,
        "expectancy_R": 0.03251829500454502,
        "pf": 1.0489733297692416,
        "max_drawdown_R": 9.783920892927561,
        "win_rate": 0.35353535353535354,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 116,
        "net_R": -9.123544180899605,
        "expectancy_R": -0.0786512429387897,
        "pf": 0.8885786922827725,
        "max_drawdown_R": 26.835932477009912,
        "win_rate": 0.31896551724137934,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 90.12,
        "rd": 3.1693843738513596,
        "sl": 93.28938437385136,
        "tp": 83.78123125229729,
        "highest": 90.57,
        "lowest": 88.3,
        "bars": 3,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-05 20:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 0.1104630927344936
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BNBUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SPINNINGTOP",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BNBUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "11e698e30a03368402d6"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 300,
        "net_R": -17.683593444060467,
        "expectancy_R": -0.05894531148020155,
        "pf": 0.9156980554323771,
        "max_drawdown_R": 35.629948493298166,
        "win_rate": 0.32666666666666666,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 102,
        "net_R": -1.3744783553684514,
        "expectancy_R": -0.013475277993808347,
        "pf": 0.9803314923329259,
        "max_drawdown_R": 14.9477642642689,
        "win_rate": 0.3431372549019608,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 102,
        "net_R": 18.819991911996723,
        "expectancy_R": 0.18450972462741885,
        "pf": 1.2984027349925809,
        "max_drawdown_R": 17.123637006173745,
        "win_rate": 0.4117647058823529,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": 1,
        "entry": 700.23,
        "rd": 20.238367379288142,
        "sl": 679.9916326207119,
        "tp": 740.7067347585763,
        "highest": 723.42,
        "lowest": 680.74,
        "bars": 40,
        "open_ts": "2026-10-30 16:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": -0.5151501010239484
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "XRPUSDT-4h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SPINNINGTOP",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "XRPUSDT-4h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "9ae1c4ccd81eb1415d65"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 250,
        "net_R": 2.565696906133857,
        "expectancy_R": 0.010262787624535427,
        "pf": 1.0152658403714478,
        "max_drawdown_R": 24.531370580433567,
        "win_rate": 0.348,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 103,
        "net_R": -13.272662732219045,
        "expectancy_R": -0.12886080322542762,
        "pf": 0.8212128358463662,
        "max_drawdown_R": 24.91881754549646,
        "win_rate": 0.30097087378640774,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 95,
        "net_R": -8.730503963373817,
        "expectancy_R": -0.09190004171972439,
        "pf": 0.8709733732667684,
        "max_drawdown_R": 22.42630617864186,
        "win_rate": 0.3157894736842105,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 1.2442,
        "rd": 0.03490432170579359,
        "sl": 1.2791043217057936,
        "tp": 1.1743913565884128,
        "highest": 1.2446,
        "lowest": 1.1776,
        "bars": 3,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-05 20:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 1.635469397777318
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2022-09-28 12:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 04:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BTCUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SPINNINGTOP",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BTCUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 8.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "681b3fefee51f9c8a197"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 295,
        "net_R": -25.672240711761646,
        "expectancy_R": -0.0870245447856327,
        "pf": 0.8796529846813315,
        "max_drawdown_R": 32.135068440097385,
        "win_rate": 0.33220338983050846,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 97,
        "net_R": -23.676739357934146,
        "expectancy_R": -0.2440900964735479,
        "pf": 0.6924351229181658,
        "max_drawdown_R": 32.257957744740935,
        "win_rate": 0.28865979381443296,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 100,
        "net_R": -14.570348774689478,
        "expectancy_R": -0.1457034877468948,
        "pf": 0.8056127871032599,
        "max_drawdown_R": 20.90438135760427,
        "win_rate": 0.32,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": 1,
        "entry": 76195.63,
        "rd": 906.5186860491447,
        "sl": 75289.11131395087,
        "tp": 78008.6673720983,
        "highest": 76280.01,
        "lowest": 75304.11,
        "bars": 5,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-06 03:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": -0.7068850117064902
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "ETHUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SPINNINGTOP",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "ETHUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "0bae350ab93e8733e6e3"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 300,
        "net_R": 24.30841466002683,
        "expectancy_R": 0.0810280488667561,
        "pf": 1.1226869217647806,
        "max_drawdown_R": 24.65384222743323,
        "win_rate": 0.38333333333333336,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 100,
        "net_R": -24.94580580969848,
        "expectancy_R": -0.24945805809698482,
        "pf": 0.6814033083976337,
        "max_drawdown_R": 29.502034986813623,
        "win_rate": 0.28,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 99,
        "net_R": 15.465293783921297,
        "expectancy_R": 0.15621508872647774,
        "pf": 1.2452978111865187,
        "max_drawdown_R": 12.289186051158746,
        "win_rate": 0.41414141414141414,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 2252.1,
        "rd": 38.9745058306236,
        "sl": 2291.0745058306234,
        "tp": 2174.1509883387525,
        "highest": 2269.61,
        "lowest": 2206.28,
        "bars": 13,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-05 19:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 0.544806715248101
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "SOLUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SPINNINGTOP",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "SOLUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "cb4452146c2401d43a9e"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 300,
        "net_R": -16.855411484638488,
        "expectancy_R": -0.05618470494879496,
        "pf": 0.9205223922472409,
        "max_drawdown_R": 40.43663113811621,
        "win_rate": 0.33666666666666667,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 110,
        "net_R": 3.1429752985252515,
        "expectancy_R": 0.02857250271386592,
        "pf": 1.041749672285808,
        "max_drawdown_R": 16.37110453269321,
        "win_rate": 0.37272727272727274,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 82,
        "net_R": 19.946934705695693,
        "expectancy_R": 0.24325530128897185,
        "pf": 1.4040132113511625,
        "max_drawdown_R": 7.480057567819033,
        "win_rate": 0.43902439024390244,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 90.24,
        "rd": 1.711365008604371,
        "sl": 91.95136500860437,
        "tp": 86.81726998279126,
        "highest": 90.57,
        "lowest": 88.94,
        "bars": 6,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-06 02:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 0.27465794709879493
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "BNBUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SPINNINGTOP",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "BNBUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 9.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "ffb38b23ee8236218ec4"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 284,
        "net_R": 25.394292317130954,
        "expectancy_R": 0.08941652224341885,
        "pf": 1.135142749125779,
        "max_drawdown_R": 12.783013853936701,
        "win_rate": 0.39436619718309857,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 107,
        "net_R": 1.7843239781298634,
        "expectancy_R": 0.01667592502925106,
        "pf": 1.0239363436839537,
        "max_drawdown_R": 12.66143279565003,
        "win_rate": 0.38317757009345793,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 96,
        "net_R": -10.306566288303861,
        "expectancy_R": -0.10736006550316522,
        "pf": 0.8546123105608904,
        "max_drawdown_R": 16.994137732967253,
        "win_rate": 0.3333333333333333,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 694.2,
        "rd": 7.299027440122849,
        "sl": 701.4990274401229,
        "tp": 679.6019451197543,
        "highest": 696.3,
        "lowest": 686.51,
        "bars": 6,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-06 02:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 0.4311418919596677
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    },
    "XRPUSDT-1h": {
      "spec": {
        "version": "3.0.0",
        "signal": "PAT_SPINNINGTOP",
        "exit": "rr2",
        "regime": "todo",
        "market": "XRPUSDT-1h",
        "cost_bps": 10.0,
        "atr_period": 20,
        "sl_atr": 1.5,
        "trail_atr": 2.5,
        "rr": 2.0,
        "max_hold": 300,
        "risk_pct": 0.1,
        "funding_approved": false,
        "cost_model": "estimated_roundtrip_bps; excludes unknown funding/swap",
        "id": "80c88f476af3aaf6575b"
      },
      "train": {
        "n": 293,
        "net_R": -30.642519385169468,
        "expectancy_R": -0.10458197742378658,
        "pf": 0.8563952281960283,
        "max_drawdown_R": 44.39056476360004,
        "win_rate": 0.3242320819112628,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "selection": {
        "n": 109,
        "net_R": 2.893872199478494,
        "expectancy_R": 0.02654928623374765,
        "pf": 1.0385250935502308,
        "max_drawdown_R": 18.25734841105861,
        "win_rate": 0.3761467889908257,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "last_20_percent": {
        "n": 92,
        "net_R": 0.5494678973582963,
        "expectancy_R": 0.005972477145198872,
        "pf": 1.0087060505559913,
        "max_drawdown_R": 13.375331786446122,
        "win_rate": 0.358695652173913,
        "curve_kind": "ordered_trade_R_not_a_funded_portfolio",
        "funding_approved": false
      },
      "base_passed": false,
      "open_position": {
        "side": -1,
        "entry": 1.2168,
        "rd": 0.020333643652605704,
        "sl": 1.237133643652606,
        "tp": 1.1761327126947887,
        "highest": 1.2228,
        "lowest": 1.1776,
        "bars": 6,
        "open_ts": "2026-11-06 02:00:00+00:00",
        "pending_exit": null,
        "unreal_R": 1.4605670536669577
      },
      "bars": 8999,
      "start": "2025-10-27 09:00:00+00:00",
      "end": "2026-11-06 07:00:00+00:00"
    }
  },
  "selection_bias": "Repeated rolling search; not independent final validation"
}

Registro completo